Part Precision, Part Luck

PRINT     E-MAIL STORY    SHARE

FACEBOOK

REDDIT

NEWSVINE

DIGG

DEL.ICIO.US

BLINKLIST

Recently I discussed the merits of the median home price per square foot as a somewhat better indicator of home pricing power than the plain-vanilla median price.

Displaying four-month charts of each series, I noted the remarkable smoothness of trend in the former as compared to the latter.

I have since attained some more historical info, and when we zoom out a bit to see the bigger picture, it becomes clear that the median price per square foot hasn't moved as smoothly as it initially appeared. The seeming tranquility during our initial four month period was as much luck as anything -- always a danger with small data sets.

While a bit more volatile than it first seemed, this indicator still looks pretty serene compared to its more widely-cited brethren.

I'm still favoring the median price per square foot as a better means of determining what's actually going on with home prices.