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December Housing Supply and Demand



Existing home sales continued to languish in December, down 3.5 percent from November and 36.6 percent from a year prior.

Resale inventory was down 6.6 percent for the month, following the typical seasonal pattern, but remained 16.9 percent above year-ago levels.

Putting the two figures together, there were about 12 months' worth of resale inventory sitting on the market. This level of inventory, as the accompanying graph shows, is about the same as in recent months but is substantially worse than it was earlier in the year or for that matter at any time during the bust to date.

A rule of thumb I've heard many times, most recently on the always insightful Calculated Risk blog, is that 6 months of inventory is about normal and that anything above 8 months will put downward pressure on home prices. The rule doesn't address what happens at 12 months of inventory.

-- RICH TOSCANO



A Nerd's Eye View

Rich Toscano is a financial advisor with Pacific Capital Associates*;
he also writes about San Diego real estate at Piggington's Econo-Almanac.
Contact him at rtoscano@pcasd.com.

The $250 Beer:

 

Where and how much San Diegans will be fined for drinking on the beach.

Tuesday, January 15 -- 4:35 pm

Talking Trash:

 

We're looking for your input.

Tuesday, January 15 -- 3:54 pm

Council to Pay Cross Fees:

 

San Diego will pay $760,000 in attorneys fees.

Tuesday, January 15 -- 1:29 pm


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MOST POPULAR STORIES:

SURVIVAL IN SAN DIEGO

South, East County Hardest Hit :

 

Median prices broken down by size and neighborhood show dramatic drops.

Tuesday, January 15 -- 12:18 pm

LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

Pay It Back:

 

School district employees had no problem spending money they were not entitled to so it should not be a problem to write out a check for repayment.

Monday, January 14 -- 7:01 pm

CAFÉ SAN DIEGO

A Hard Sell :

 

Tierrasanta Village seeks support from elderly residents within the community.

Thursday, January 10 -- 1:46 pm

COMMENTARY: SLOP

Raid the TMD! :

 

Steve Francis said downtown redevelopment funds and the new Tourism Marketing District are in his sights.

Tuesday, January 15 -- 2:44 pm

COMMENTARY: RICH TOSCANO

Boosterism and December Foreclosures :

 

It's apparently a great time to buy a home, for some reason.

Tuesday, January 15 -- 3:35 pm

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This Just In

The $250 Beer:

 Where and how much San Diegans will be fined for drinking on the beach. » Jan. 15 -- 4:35 pm



Talking Trash:

 We're looking for your input.

Jan. 15 -- 3:54 pm


Council to Pay Cross Fees:

 San Diego will pay $760,000 in attorneys fees.

Jan. 15 -- 1:29 pm


MOST POPULAR STORIES:

SURVIVAL IN SAN DIEGO

South, East County Hardest Hit :

  Median prices broken down by size and neighborhood show dramatic drops.

Jan. 15 -- 12:18 pm



LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

Pay It Back:

 School district employees had no problem spending money they were not entitled to so it should not be a problem to write out a check for repayment.

Jan. 14 -- 7:01 pm



CAFÉ SAN DIEGO

A Hard Sell :

  Tierrasanta Village seeks support from elderly residents within the community.

Jan. 10 -- 1:46 pm



COMMENTARY: SLOP

Raid the TMD! :

  Steve Francis said downtown redevelopment funds and the new Tourism Marketing District are in his sights.

Jan. 15 -- 2:44 pm



COMMENTARY: RICH TOSCANO

Boosterism and December Foreclosures :

  It's apparently a great time to buy a home, for some reason.

Jan. 15 -- 3:35 pm


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