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Employment Goes Negative



San Diego employment has just decreased on a year-over-year basis, falling by 1,700 jobs between March 2007 and March 2008.

That is a very small drop in the grand scheme of things, representing a decline of just .1 percent. But it's the first time in a long time that employment has turned negative at all. The data I pulled from the Employment Development Department website goes back to the year 2000, and it shows that even during the recession and slowdown that took place at the beginning of this decade, the weakest month showed a year-over-year increase of 2,300 jobs.

So even though we are not in an officially recognized recession, San Diego's employment situation is worse than it ever got in the aftermath of the 2001 recession.

The culprits, as you might imagine, are the housing boom beneficiary sectors -- the ones that grew like weeds in the midst of the housing frenzy and are now suffering in the bust.

Construction was hit the worst, declining for the year by 9,100 jobs or 10.3 percent. The finance sector, which includes real estate, lost 5,700 jobs or 7.0 percent. The retail sector, which was a more indirect beneficiary of the boom, was down by 1,400 jobs or 1.0 percent.

Outside these industries, employment was quite positive. Excluding the three housing boom sectors, local employment increased by 14,500 jobs or 1.5 percent. But the drag from the formerly high-flying housing boom industries was enough to drag the region into negative territory on the whole.

San Diego's March unemployment rate was 5.3 percent, up from 5.0 percent in February and 4.2 percent a year prior.

-- RICH TOSCANO



A Nerd's Eye View

Rich Toscano is a financial advisor with Pacific Capital Associates*;
he also writes about San Diego real estate at Piggington's Econo-Almanac.
Contact him at rtoscano@pcasd.com.

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This Just In

NCT vs. Horn, Round II:

 Horn says the media stinks; newspaper says Supervisor Horn lacks credibility. » May. 9 -- 4:42 pm



Getting Struggling Students Help Earlier:

 New plan includes targeted help in first, third and eighth grade.

May. 9 -- 2:24 pm


Unions and City at Impasse:

 The mayor announces that negotiations between the city and three unions have reached an impasse.

May. 9 -- 12:25 pm


MOST POPULAR STORIES:

SURVIVAL IN SAN DIEGO

Survival Gone Fishin' :

  It'll be quiet in the blog for a bit.

Apr. 30 -- 9:47 pm



LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

Frye: It's the Fox Guarding the Hen House:

 None of the five largest cities in the United States allow their mayor to appoint the city auditor.

May. 9 -- 2:54 pm



CAFÉ SAN DIEGO

An Uphill Battle :

  EHC members want to see Barrio Logan redeveloped and improved, but to the benefit of its residents, local businesses and historic cultural heritage. Big developers and speculators have other interests.

May. 8 -- 4:37 pm



COMMENTARY: SLOP

Quite an Observation:

 A former fraternity leader speaks out about his old house.

May. 8 -- 10:38 am



COMMENTARY: RICH TOSCANO

April Housing Supply and Demand :

  San Diego resale volume picked up considerably last month.

May. 9 -- 10:25 am


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