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Housing Supply and Demand Improves Again



While there wasn't much good news in the home price department last month, sales volume and inventory made for another story.

Sales activity quickened in May, resulting in a 5.2 percent decline in volume from a year prior. This number doesn't seem all that impressive on the surface, but compared to the 30 percent annual declines on display earlier in the year it is actually a big improvement.

Inventory also flattened again so that it was just 1.4 percent over last year's figure.

The number of months' worth of inventory declined to 7.6 months -- still in or near bear market territory, but a vast improvement over the 12 months of inventory we saw earlier in the year.

That's the good news. The bad news is that as much as sales have been increasing they still aren't keeping pace with foreclosure activity.

Homes going into foreclosure tend to eventually end up as must-sell inventory, which is the type of inventory that puts the most downward pressure on home prices. So while volume has increased and current inventory has moderated, San Diego's housing market will probably not be out of the woods until that pipeline of future must-sell inventory clears out a bit -- or at least until it stops filling up so fast.

-- RICH TOSCANO



A Nerd's Eye View

Rich Toscano is a financial advisor with Pacific Capital Associates*;
he also writes about San Diego real estate at Piggington's Econo-Almanac.
Contact him at rtoscano@pcasd.com.

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This Just In

Consultants vs. Lifeguards & Librarians:

 Controversy over who is left in and who is left out of the mayor's budget. » Jun. 18 -- 5:16 pm



More on the Dem Party:

 The story has really sparked conversation.

Jun. 18 -- 2:30 pm


Hang Up, Drivers:

 SDPD will give drivers a 30-day grace period on the new cell phone law.

Jun. 18 -- 12:25 pm


MOST POPULAR STORIES:

SURVIVAL IN SAN DIEGO

Neighborhood Market: City Heights :

  What do you know about the market in City Heights?

Jun. 17 -- 5:42 pm



LETTERS TO THE EDITOR

The Democrats Are Here:

 The story wondering where the Democrats were is long on quotes from armchair analysts and short on facts that might show a more balanced view.

Jun. 18 -- 2:53 pm



CAFÉ SAN DIEGO

Out for a Bit:

 Recovering from elections, the Café San Diego staff will be taking some time to get the new schedule together.

Jun. 17 -- 6:47 pm



COMMENTARY: SLOP

Part I: Reality and the Airport :

  The local paper reports that flights will be cut back but these bits of fact never have mattered to its editorialists.

Jun. 15 -- 6:01 pm



COMMENTARY: RICH TOSCANO

Prices Way Down, Sales Way Up :

  The most beaten-down neighborhoods are enjoying a resurgence of home sale activity while the more resilient areas stagnate.

Jun. 17 -- 10:18 pm


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