Without the checks and balances provided by investigative reporting, democracy simply won't survive at any level.
-- Kathryn Waer, San Carlos

December Housing Supply and Demand

Print
Font Size:
Default font size
Larger font size

Posted: Thursday, January 10, 2008 12:00 am | Updated: 7:19 am, Thu Dec 3, 2009.

Existing home sales continued to languish in December, down 3.5 percent from November and 36.6 percent from a year prior.

Resale inventory was down 6.6 percent for the month, following the typical seasonal pattern, but remained 16.9 percent above year-ago levels.

Putting the two figures together, there were about 12 months' worth of of resale inventory sitting on the market. This level of inventory, as the accompanying graph shows, is about the same as in recent months but is substantially worse than it was earlier in the year or for that matter at any time during the bust to date.

A rule of thumb I've heard many times, most recently on the always insightful Calculated Risk blog, is that 6 months of inventory is about normal and that anything above 8 months will put downward pressure on home prices. The rule doesn't address what happens at 12 months of inventory.

— RICH TOSCANO

read what other members are saying and add your voice

A Nerd's Eye View

Rich Toscano is a financial advisor
with Pacific Capital Associates*;
he also writes about San Diego real
estate at Piggington's Econo-Almanac.
Contact him at rtoscano@pcasd.com.

*Investment advisory services and securities offered through Girard Securities, Inc., member SIPC/FINRA.