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While we were out, the San Diego Daily Transcript ran a story (subscription required) pointing out that over 3,000 condo units are currently under construction downtown. Additionally, another 7,000 downtown units are either approved or proposed.

How many of those latter 7,000 will actually be built is open to question. But friends in the industry tell me that once a building is under construction, the odds are high that it will be finished, which implies that most of those 3,000 units in progress actually will be built to completion.

At the moment, ZipRealty.com indicates that there are 505 dowtown resale condos listed for sale. That may not seem like much, but the pace of recent downtown sales has been so weak that it would take almost a year just to burn through that existing inventory. It is into this already serious oversupply that a further 3,000 or so units will be released over the next two or three years.

— RICH TOSCANO

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