Amid handwringing at San Diego City Hall over next week’s vote to hike water rates, city analysts dropped a harrowing report revealing how easily the department that handles water and wastewater could collapse without them.
There are whispers that Mayor Todd Gloria’s administration is struggling to get the votes to pass a four-year proposed 63 percent rate hike and 31 percent wastewater rate hike Tuesday. But the city’s independent budget analysts sharply warned against doing anything that would starve the Public Utilities Department of more revenue.
“At this point, any decrease in revenue due to either approvals of a lower rate increase, delays in the rate increase, or not approving the rate increase at all will require significant reductions to the operating expenses of the water system,” analysts wrote in their report released Friday.
City councilmembers’ offices either declined to say or didn’t respond to questions about how they would vote on Tuesday. It’ll be a tough decision after several months of painful fee increases the City Council has approved in the face of a structural budget deficit.
“We do not have a yes or no answer at this time,” said Daniel Horton, chief of staff for Councilmember Henry Foster who represents District Four.
Councilmember Sean Elo-Rivera, who represents District Nine, didn’t either. But he said he needs to know the city is doing everything it can do to maximize revenue from sources other than rates, like putting solar on Public Utilities Department property which could generate revenue.
“San Diego is too expensive and people are struggling to make ends meet,” Elo-Rivera said. “But we also have to adequately resource infrastructure and systems that are as important as water.”
The analysts’ report says that if councilmembers refuse to raise rates at all, the Public Utilities Department would still have to make an immediate almost 30 percent cut to its budget.
That would likely come in the form of staff layoffs and disruptions in water or wastewater service, which could be anything from unanswered customer service calls to more frequent water pipe breaks. Then the department wades into the uncharted waters of not having enough resources to address emergency repairs to its system, which could trigger fines from state or federal regulators.
If the city doesn’t do layoffs, they would risk falling behind on repaying its debts or break its commitments to lenders on long-term loans. And that means collectors come knocking.
Cuts like this to the Public Utilities Department would reverberate across the city as the revenue it generates repays other city departments like finance, transportation and general services for their support of their operations, analysts wrote.
How did we get here? Analysts point to higher and higher water prices from the San Diego County Water Authority, from which the city purchases most of its water supply. Almost 93 percent of the total rate increase is due to that, analysts write. Also, in general, San Diegans are using less water over the past years as they get better at conservation. Less water used means less water purchased and less money for water agencies.
The Public Utilities Department doesn’t have any other resources to draw on. The department proposes to draw-down its emergency cash, called the rate stabilization fund, from $40 million in fiscal year 2025 to just $5 million in fiscal year 2027 — and that’s to avoid an even higher rate hike than what’s already proposed.
Analysts started sounding alarm bells about the financial stakes facing the Public Utilities Department back in 2023. They said the mayor’s appointees to the Water Authority’s governing board should start pushing the agency to sell off some of its excess water supplies. That’s starting to happen now, and the new leader of the Water Authority has committed to cutting deals with interested buyers.
These rate increases include funds to begin paying off the now $6 billion wastewater-to-drinking water project called Pure Water. The city committed to building it to avoid a major, more expensive upgrade to the Point Loma Wastewater Treatment Plant.
Pure Water should save the city money eventually because it will mean the city has to buy less water from the Water Authority, its biggest price driver.
City staffers recently tried to deflect blame for the proposed water rate increase away from Pure Water and onto the Water Authority. They released a report showing how the water Pure Water produced would still undercut the Water Authority’s prices.
Another caveat, the Water Authority sets its rates each year as opposed to the city’s current process of locking in water rates over four years. Analysts note that the current proposed rate hikes would keep the Public Utilities Department whole in the short run, unless the Water Authority changes its mind.
City staff built their proposed rates to City Council based on the assumption that the Water Authority wouldn’t raise its own prices above 8 percent per year. This past year, the Water Authority proposed a 22 percent rate increase, one that the city of San Diego’s Water Authority board appointees had to battle down to 8 percent.
“If the (Water Authority) raises their rates higher than these assumptions, it will require the Public Utilities Department to either come back and ask Council for an additional rate recovery authority to cover these passthrough charges, or otherwise absorb these costs through their operations,” analysts wrote.
In other words, if the Water Authority comes back next year asking for another 22 percent rate increase, the Public Utilities Department will have to once again ask the City Council for even more money than it’s asking for right now.

Pure Water should save the city money eventually
By the time overruns and the system actually produces something, I would highly doubt it. 6 billion now huh. I remember when it was 1.5 billion. How many dams could have been fixed with 6 billion?
“If the city doesn’t do layoffs, they would risk falling behind on repaying its debts or break its commitments to lenders on long-term loans. And that means collectors come knocking.”
So the city water department has been operating over budget for how long exactly?
“Also, in general, San Diegans are using less water over the past years as they get better at conservation. Less water used means less water purchased and less money for water agencies.”
So because the citizens of San Diego have been so good at conserving water as requested you’re going to increase the rates in the hopes that we’ll use more water? Because nothing says use more water like a 63% rate hike over 4 years.
“Cuts like this to the Public Utilities Department would reverberate across the city”
Um I’m sorry it’s not a “cut” it’s just not giving the water department more money to use irresponsibly.
How about the water department proves that they can operate within budget before we throw more money at the problem they’ve created by irresponsibly managing the money they have?
did you even read the article???
The Water Department is inept and crooked. We need to fire every last one of them and replace them with competent people who *actually* know how to budget properly and won’t keep screwing us out of infrastructure repairs and water availability. They’ve allowed every dam in the city to become derelict to the point of it being unsafe to store water at full capacity, they sell “excess water” (which is a nonsensical term in San Diego) which forces us to buy water at higher rates later on, and they keep raising rates despite not having a single thing to show for the increase in revenue. It’s obvious that the City has no idea how to actually budget anything, and their priorities are so far off the mark that they’re essentially facing the wrong direction.
No one mentions the desalination plant in Carlsbad. Yes it’s expensive but probably more predictable financially than the water authority. But what gets me is that they produce pristine clean water from the ocean then pump it into reservoirs around the county. Mixing with brackish water then having to purify it yet again to make it safe to drink. Talk about a waste of money.
Maybe if San Diego stop the over growth of mega apartments we could survive the water issues. Remember a few years ago when they said we will run out of water soon? Now in San Diego they are building MEGA apts affordable housing EVERYWHERE. Think about how many sinks, washers, dish washers and toilets are being used on the daily. Most people who move here have no idea that we have droughts and they just waste water like crazy… Stop the growth Problem solved possibly ????
Did you read the article? The issue isn’t an over usage. It’s that the city is conserving water too well, and it’s hurting the budget because the department collects less money
The City of San Diego Water Department has been freaking EVIL for decades.